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More Jobs, Fewer New Ph.D.’s

Arnita A. Jones almost gushed when she told historians about how many new Ph.D.’s she was chatting up at the annual meeting of the American Historical Association in Atlanta who were telling her, “I have four interviews tomorrow,” or “I’ve got three interviews today.”

Just a few years ago, one didn’t hear so many positive reports from job seekers. But if the mood was generally upbeat about the job market, there was also a clear realization that historians don’t have it easy when it comes to finding a job. Jones immediately followed her statement by imploring graduate programs not to increase their enrollments. It’s better to have a glut of positions than a glut of historians, she said.

And for all the talk about an improved job market, it’s clear that it’s not improved for everyone. There was new evidence at the meeting of a mismatch between the areas of expertise of new Ph.D.’s and the available jobs. And there was also new evidence and much discussion about the various tiers of the graduate education and job markets, in which some academics launch great careers and others face huge debts and limited prospects for tenure-track jobs.

The Job Numbers

Position postings with the AHA (which does not list all openings, but which is a good measure of the discipline’s job market) reached 1,030 last year — the first time ever that the number topped 1,000. With the number of Ph.D.’s conferred falling to 924 (from 975), that makes last year the second in a row in which the number of new positions outpaced Ph.D. production.

Those figures suggest that it’s a great time to be a new Ph.D. in history, but it would be more accurate to say that it’s a great time to be a new Ph.D. in Asian or African history. History departments, many of which were once almost completely focused on the United States or Europe, are evolving, and an increasing number of new positions are for non-Western history. While more graduate students are focusing on non-Western history, there is also a mismatch in positions. The percentage of new Ph.D.’s in American and European history exceeds their share of job listings, while the percentage of new Ph.D.’s in the history of the rest of the world lags.

History Specializations of New Ph.D.’s and Job Openings

Specialization

% of New Ph.D.’s

% of Job Openings

America

40.1%

27.6%

Europe

22.8%

20.8%

Asia

12.7%

6.9%

Latin America

9.3%

4.9%

Africa

6.3%

1.9%

An analysis of the job number, by Robert B. Townsend, assistant director for research and publications, noted that not all positions specify a regional specialty. Also, as graduate students joked in between interviews, there is a fair amount of strategic repositioning that goes on when vying for a job, as anyone who did comparative work tries to transform himself or herself into an expert in the area sought by a desirable job.

Townsend’s analysis also noted that the more optimistic job picture may have an impact on current graduate students. When they hear about an increase in opening, many push to finish up their Ph.D.’s to get on the market while there are more positions. So the relatively low number of new Ph.D.’s may soon see an increase.

Winners and Losers

Even while there was good news on the job market, historians were considering less favorable developments for their profession. At one session, data from the AHA showed that the percentage of historians at four-year colleges working part-time increased to 25 percent in 2003, up from 6 percent in 1979. At two-year colleges, the percentage working part time has always been higher — and was 68 percent in 2003. Even full-time employment doesn’t mean tenure track. Of those at four-year institutions in full-time jobs, 14 percent are off the tenure track.

Even more striking were statistics released comparing the gaps between the highest paid history professors at public and private institutions and the lowest paid full-time instructor. The data came from the College and University Professional Association for Human Resources and did not include names. At both public and private institutions, gains for the lowest paid instructors were modest over the last 20 years, especially when accounting for inflation. Not so for the fortunate highest paid history professors.

Highs and Lows for History Salaries

Position

Salary 1985-6

Salary 2005-6

Lowest instructor — public

$15,324

$21,410

Highest professor — public

$69,200

$237,766

Lowest instructor — private

$11,700

$27,000

Highest professor — private

$86,200

$193,000

Gerda Lerner, a professor of history emerita at the University of Wisconsin at Madison, noted that these were at least full-time positions. The history Ph.D.’s who are adjuncts endure “slave labor conditions,” she said. Lerner noted that undergraduates rally on behalf of the factory workers abroad who produce T-shirts with college logos, and yet largely ignore the treatment of teaching assistants “right under our noses.”

And those able to find jobs — even jobs at relatively wealthy universities — are increasingly likely to suffer economically because of the way graduate education is financed, according to Lillian Guerra, assistant professor of Caribbean history at Yale University.

Institutions like hers and a few others, she said, are able to provide solid packages to graduate students. But at most other places — especially public universities — “officially fully financed” doesn’t really mean fully financed, she said, or it doesn’t if you want to pay for food. Guerra earned her Ph.D. at the University of Wisconsin at Madison and finished up with $105,000 in debt, which she’s managed to bring down to $38,000 by spending about one-third of her salary on loan repayment.

Within academe, she said, senior professors consider it “gauche and strictly taboo” to talk about such economic realities. But those senior academics and administrators who think that their junior faculty members are well paid may not have much of a sense of how much debt takes away from their standard of living. It is “insanely demoralizing,” Guerra said, “to live like a graduate student years after being a graduate student.”

Beyond debt, Guerra said that the gap between the wealthiest and less wealthy graduate programs extend to how supposedly full packages of aid are put together. At public universities, teaching assistant loads are heavier and students must seek more sections for financial reasons. So they take longer to finish up, take on more debt, and the cycle just gets worse.

Other speakers at the session spoke of the need to unionize more academic labor and of the need to challenge “corporatization” and “market forces” in academe.

Amid a fair amount of administrator-bashing, one scholar-administrator presented the dilemmas in a different way. Edward L. Ayers, a Civil War historian who is dean of arts and sciences at the University of Virginia and was recently named as the next president of the University of Richmond, said of the financial balancing acts in higher education today, “This is my world.”

He cautioned those worried about the financial state of professors that they shouldn’t be so quick to condemn all market forces. He noted, for example, that when departments ask him for money to bring on a star professor, he constantly hears that a hire will “put us on the map,” suggesting that professors can relate to certain kinds of market forces. And he said that when he explains the value of tenure to state legislators, the argument that they find most convincing — after he’s talked about academic freedom — is that a university that did away with tenure would lose its best professors. So market forces can help preserve something professors value, Ayers said.

There’s no way to avoid markets, he said, but at the same time, higher education must find ways to “insulate” key values from market forces. For example, Ayers said that he worried about the “market of prestige” in which flagship institutions like his have become so good, and so competitive, that people in some parts of the state feel disconnected from the institution — despite the generous aid it provides. “The University of Virginia might as well be Oxford” to some people, he said. At the same time, he said, he loved the idea of the Virginias of the world offering truly world-class educations.

Dealing with these contradictions, he said, is one of the central challenges in higher education, and he urged professors to engage with administrators on these issues and not to “just demonize administrators” and “wash their hands” of the questions. If that happens, he said, “we are really in trouble.”

Even on the question of pushing for more money for public universities, so that they can help more students and reward their faculty talent, he said that the choices are tough ones. Ayers described running into his state legislator (as it happened, a former student of his) a few years ago, in a period in which the university was taking serious financial hits from the state. Ayers asked him how he could be letting the university be hurt.

The legislator’s answer, Ayers said: “How do I tell an unemployed textile worker that I should tax him so you can compete with Princeton?”

Scott Jaschik

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Comments

Where’s the gun?

” .. earned her Ph.D. at the University of Wisconsin at Madison and finished up with $105,000 in debt ..”

Excuse me — where is the gun, that was held to the student’s head, to force the student to borrow such an unbelievable amount of money?

Answer: there is none. In the U.S., no one can force one to go into debt. One has to do it, oneself.

If UW-Madison and others cared about facts, truth, and students (grad and undergrad), they’d freely disclose, upfront, how much debt can be involved. But the answer to that is already known.

They’d also disclose how it is their best financial interests to drag out a student’s dissertation process (keep low-wage workers, drive up their debt load). But that’s another topic.

L.H.H., at 7:51 am EST on January 8, 2007

Still not enough openings

There are still far more Ph.D.s being created than there are openings for them—the article really doesn’t indicate this. One could come away from the article, looking at the statistics, and think that every Ph.D. being created will get a job. Wrong! I got my Ph.D. in medieval history in 2001 and still haven’t found anything. I’ve applied for close to 200 positions and only gotten one job offer that was so bad I had to turn it down. Some fields, such as medieval Europe, are so overloaded that anyone getting a tenure-track job in this field is very fortunate. Neither the article nor the AHA discuss this. I myself have taken to actively discouraging potential graduate students from entering this field.

Steve, at 8:30 am EST on January 8, 2007

Yes, let’s blame the student...

I just adore coments such as those made by L.H.H. Of course, it is entirely the fault of the aspiring scholar that their grad school debt is so ridiculously large. One should never place the blame on the institutions who will refuse to fund their own graduate students. Far easier and less exensive to let the greedy, predatory student laon sharks provide the cash — and the high interest rates.

The prolem here is that the failure of grad programs to fund their own continued existence throught the full funding of grad students has resulted in a situation in which humanities PhD’s have become either a vanity project for the very wealthy scions who can afford to fund themselves, or a debt trap for the bright young scholars who do not have the means to self-fund the degree.

To suppose that that the students are to blame for their resulting debt load is disengenuous at best, and cynically snide at worst. To quote from a popular song from a few years back, “Where you end usually depends on whre you begin". And so to follow the logic of some, we should just let the academic drams and aspirations of the talented young scholars of the future wither on the vine and tell them, “Tough. You should have been born rich!”

Now THAT’s the American system educational system I want to support.

Warren M., Teacher

Warren martin, semi-retired, at 8:55 am EST on January 8, 2007

societal financial support of education

If we could all think of our individual and unique minds as a collective resource that could bear fruit for all of us, we would not hesitate to make sure that their potential was not blocked due to lack of access to learning because of financial or class reasons. Like watering a garden, supporting education for all who are curious and motivated would more than pay for itself.

SH, at 9:00 am EST on January 8, 2007

History

Ph.D In Modern Indian History

Dr.B.Maria John, Professor, at 12:00 pm EST on January 8, 2007

Non-Linear Decisions And Unpredictable Debts

With L.H.H.’s implicit notions of (1) rational student buyers with full information, (2) full disclosure by sellers, and (3) good market forecasts, he/she must be a theoretical economist. Or perhaps he/she is so familiar with the field that news about debts, financing, and the job market is all old material.

One reality, often unaccounted for, is that history students don’t at first enter the field strictly based on the outcome of becoming a professor: I’d say that’s the goal of about 33 percent of them at the start. Most history PhD students arrive in their programs with non-“traditional” backgrounds: this certainly affects their debt load and the timing of their decisions to become professors. Think about this fictional scenario that applies to the other 66 percent:

After a few years in boring “Office Space”-like jobs, they decide to take a second look at the humanities. This cohort is around 24-25 years old, and their original degrees are in political science or sociology. They likely begin studying history in a MA program. After the MA they perhaps then obtain a job in a non-profit (archives, museum, humanities org), maybe teaching a course or two along the way. After a while — a few years — they learn that one of the few ways to make money (a living wage), as well as participate in engaging archival research and teach, is to aim for a full-time teaching position at a regular university. So around the age of 27 they enter a PhD program. To do this, they either drop all work to be a f-t student or, since they’re working for poorly funded non-profits and perhaps teaching a class or two (underpaid as an adjunct), they’re not getting ahead financially. In either case they take out some loans. These loans add up over the years, and are perhaps on top of a nominal amount of loans taken out as an undergraduate. Let’s say this cohort finally finishes the PhD around 34-35 years old – considered “young,” by the way, by many scholars. Now they’re job hunting with about 50,000 or more in debt, but they’re bright and motivated folks. The academy and the field of history will be enriched by their employment as professors.

So what can be done to help these folks? First, as Warren Martin noted, stop blaming the students. Only a few follow the traditional path of first being undergrad history major with good grades and then moving on to graduate history program with funding. I haven’t seen statistics on this, but I’d wager that 75 percent of incoming grad students come from non-history undergrad programs. As a student advisor, I’ve watched students choose non-humanities undergraduate degrees because of parental, peer, and general societal pressure. Is it the grad students’ fault for their initial condition, or that the pipeline of incoming, well-prepared, history-degreed undergrads are ‘accidents’ of the system? The current system is not set up to late maturation, and those late bloomers escape the traditional funding pipeline. Should they be punished for this?

Next, universities should guarantee that ~anyone~ who actually comes to the decision to work on a PhD is ~somehow~ fully funded. People come and go in MA programs, but anyone who’s signed on for the PhD is aware of about 75 percent of the core difficulties (years until graduation, fluctuating market, job searches that measure in years, etc.). But awareness doesn’t mean that economic help isn’t needed. This funding requirement should be a fundamental condition at institutions offering the history PhD: it should be required for accreditation and for recognition by professional societies such as AHA or OAH. So long as the PhD program’s screening/admissions process is intensive (i.e. require MA), then it’s not like an institution is merely funding bright undergrads using history programs as way stations. This ‘somehow’ with regard to funding can be personal (to allow for the motivated rich) or institutional (for everyone else). Perhaps programs should cap the former — say 10 percent maximum — so that “vanity” PhDs (Mr. Martin’s term) are minimized.

This funding requirement also has positive tangential results. It may result in less PhDs produced in the near term, but generally help with the ongoing market correction (per Steve’s concern above). Despite my fictional, adult/mature student scenario, this funding condition also applies to the really motivated young. It might help nurture a more diverse group of the young, and democratize the playing field intellectually: no one would be pre-screened from humanities study on account of debt/class issues (per SH’s concern above). — TL

Tim Lacy, at 12:26 pm EST on January 8, 2007

phD demand vs. supply

I’d like to see additional work on supply versus demand in fields other than history. In my field, the number of PhDs entering is falling (as are schools that offer them), at the same time that demand is increasing as a result of more students and an aging PhD workforce. Curious! The problem is, I suspect, that people in this field make a very nice salary DOING what we can teach; those who teach make substantially less.

Sophie, at 1:15 pm EST on January 8, 2007

Suck it Up Steve

Steve- I don’t mean to sound too harsh but suck it up! You were offered a job in History! Too bad if it was not perfect. Many of us do not have great experiences the first time out. Haven’t you ever heard that you need experience to gain credibility? You have not found anything since—you are living in a fantasy world if you think that there will be something now. When a search committee sees an application of a person who has not been hired at this point, they see a huge red flag. They see this person must not be employable for a good reason. And then your vita gets dumped. Working for a couple years at a not so great place would have opened a lot more doors than complaining about a impossible job market. I do wish you luck. I sincerely do. And if you actually do get an offer take it! Even if its not up to your standards. You have been out of adademia to long to be picky.

Dr. C, at 2:35 pm EST on January 8, 2007

Hunting for anger

I’ve posted on the issue of debt previously on IHE, but the more I read the comments after the history stories this week, the more I get the sense that people are just hunting through IHE for something that makes them feel threatened, insulted, etc.- in other words, ticks them off. Specifically, those who made it through grad school without debt (like me, admittedly) are confused about others being unable to do so and get angry when people imply that they are entitled to guaranteed funding.

Those who took on debt are confused about how they could have been expected to get through school debt free given their circumstances (kids to support, pre-existing college debt, no financial support from family, etc.) and get angry when it’s implied that they shouldn’t have gone to graduate school.

Maybe it’s time that we just cooled off a bit and tried more earnestly to put ourselves in each other’s shoes. I’ll start. I argued previously that students shouldn’t be absolved of responsibility for their debts because they chose to enter unfunded programs, go to grad school with family to support, etc. I think, in retrospect, that I was too hasty and played too loose with my assumptions.

I certainly can’t imagine doing other jobs as happily as I do mine, and I would probably have taken on debt if my program stopped funding me and I couldn’t find other support. Individual passion matters, even when it goes against the demands of the “market,” and I should have stopped a moment to realize that debt isn’t fun for the debtors, and that they may well have ended up with it because they came to the same conclusion as I did: there was one job for me, and financial gain took a back seat to my passion for that job.

Ok, my angry friends. Who’s next?

QuakerProf, at 5:10 am EST on January 9, 2007

Debt-free & happy

Some students start at community colleges because there are five other siblings. They work their way through undergrad.

Then, instead of insisting the world owes them a living, they take 13 years for graduate school, working and going to school at the same time.

Some see the world and complain incessantly, never happy with what they are given. Others manage to productively find solutions.

L.H.H., at 7:55 am EST on January 9, 2007

Where have all the dollars gone?

Rarely do these debates include analyses of why education is as expensive as it is.

Whether in non-traditional for-profit universities or in traditional state universities, a professor can teach between 250 and 500 undergraduate students per year, with the help of teaching assistants.

If a professor earns US$ 100,000 per year, that works out to be $200-400 per student, per year to cover the professor’s salary. However tuition is typically about $500 per credit or $1,500 per course (often taxpayer-subsidized for in-state students).

If a student — with help from a state subsidy — is paying $1,500 per course and $200-400 of that is going to the professor, that leaves $1,100-1,300 in gross profit to cover other costs.

The professor will need an office and a parking space; the library will need books; someone is going to have to pay for Internet access and database subscriptions.

If a student takes an average of five courses per semester and summers off, that works out to be a gross margin of $11,000-13,000 per student, per year to cover these ancillary costs. At these rates, each student could afford his or her own personal subscriptions to ProQuest and Lexis/Nexis and have money left over to buy all of the books that he or she checked out of the library that year.

On a per-professor basis, it works out to be $275,000 — $650,000 in gross margin per year.

Although science and technology departments need equipment in their labs, it is hard to see why humanities, social sciences, and business departments need so much money. Half a million dollars per year is a lot of dry markers.

It is normal for graduate students to be employed as teaching and research assistants. Typically, doctoral students — whether in Central Florida or New York CIty — are offered a bit less than $20,000 per year, plus tuition waivers.

Let’s be generous and give each professor five assistants. Five times $20,000 equals $100,000 per year. Subtract that from the gross margin per professor of $275,000-650,000 above and you are left with $175,000-550,000 per year, per professor in gross profit.

(The football team should be profitable through ticket sales, t-shirt sales, billboard rental, and renting the stadium out for concerts.)

That leaves 50-75% of the revenue generated by tuition and state subsidies to cover administrative costs that are not tied directly to instruction. If you want to know why you couldn’t get a free ride through graduate school, this would be a good place to start looking for answers.

Charles Evans, Executive Director at Free Curricula Center, at 11:51 am EST on January 10, 2007

Well-done financial analysis

The aforementioned financial break-down was a pleasant surprise in an seemingly-endless sea of “just give us more money” pleas.

As noted on other parts of this site, higher-ed finance is cloaked in multiple accounts, unretained students, and disclosures conveniently made at 4:59 PM Dec. 23. ENRON never had it so good.

At bottom: anyone with a “grand idea” on how to improve PhD life is urged to step forward. You’ll find out, very quickly, how realistic your “grand idea” is.

L.H.H., at 5:35 pm EST on January 10, 2007

History and Money

The problem with the history job market is that graduate schools and history departments do not prepare PhD students for the reality of work. History departments ignore the question of “what next?” I went to a lecture at the AHA annual meeting in Philadelphia last year for graduate students and the job market. The five to seven historians spoke very intelligently about their occupations. However, NOT ONE spoke about salary or how to actually make money. What good is a job if you don’t know what you are going to get paid? Ironically, many historians I know would disagree with this statement. That is why they have debt and the majority cannot retire. This obviously means new historians cannot get jobs because they never open up. If you do not get a full time job until you are in your late thirties your 401(k) will never catch up to someone who started working in their twenties. It is apparent that most PHD programs do not address market conditions because they are not good and are nonsensical. If your graduate program is not fully funded it makes absolutely no sense at this point to incure debt to finish a PhD. Also, shame on the speakers at the AHA convention who did not talk about money. What good is work if you don’t get paid! Also, why is it so taboo to discuss money in graduate school...my fellow history majors know what I’m talking about!

JonnyO, History Teacher at High Technology High School, at 9:50 am EST on January 25, 2007

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