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A Defense of Standardized Tests

February 23, 2007

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The last year hasn't been a good one for the standardized testing industry, what with SAT scoring errors and more colleges dropping the test as a requirement. But on Thursday, the journal Science published a study backing the reliability of standardized testing in graduate and professional school admissions.

The study, a "meta-analysis" examining thousands of data sets on a range of tests, found that test scores are a better way to predict graduate and professional school success than are college grades, which may be influenced by grade inflation or the relative competitiveness of different student bodies. The study concluded that the most reliable way to admit students to graduate and professional school is a combination of using test scores and college grades. In addition, the study found that these tests predict just as well for minority and white students.

Groups like the College Board and the Educational Testing Service regularly produce research that backs their views that standardized tests can be a valuable part of the admissions process, but those studies are typically labeled as self-serving by testing critics. While authors of the new study have ties to testing entities, no testing company paid for the study and its publication in the prestigious journal Science was seen as a coup for the testing industry, some of whose officials have been talking excitedly about this research for months.

The Science study examined data about all of the major admissions tests for graduate and professional school, including the Graduate Record Examination, which is used for Ph.D. programs, and the tests used for admission to medical, law and business schools.

Nathan Kuncel, an assistant professor of psychology at the University of Minnesota and one of the study's authors, said in an interview Thursday that the project was the "largest and most comprehensive synthesis of graduate school admissions."

The most striking thing about the study, he said, was the common findings across different graduate admissions tests. "Across all the major standardized tests, they all predict a variety of important outcomes -- grades, licensure passage, obtaining the degree," Kuncel said.

One of the major concerns about standardized admissions tests is their impact on minority enrollments. Black and Latino students, on average, receive lower scores than do white and Asian students. Many educators have questioned the predictive value of the tests for some minority students and urged colleges and graduate programs to place less emphasis on them.

Kuncel said that the review for his study found no evidence of bias in test questions, or any difference in predictive value for different racial or ethnic groups. The study says that while there is evidence that some tests underpredict the performance of women in college, there is no similar evidence for graduate and professional school.

Those who want to know why black and Latino students don't score as well need to stop looking at the tests, Kuncel said. "These tests are acting as a thermometer for other societal issues," he said.

Asked whether his research would discourage colleges from questioning standardized tests, Kuncel said that there were separate questions for graduate schools to consider: One set of questions concerns what tests measure and another concerns what kind of class a graduate school wants to produce.

"If a law school values students who will pass the Bar at a high rate, the LSAT does a great job of that," Kuncel said. But a law school could make a perfectly legitimate issue to focus on other issues, he added.

While the analysis published Thursday focused on tests for graduate school, Kuncel said he expected similar findings would come from looking at the tests used in undergraduate admissions. "All of these tests are very similar in structure," he said.

Bob Schaeffer, public education director of the National Center for Fair & Open Testing, disputed the findings, which he called "a meta-analysis of pro-testing meta-analyses" and said that the analysis ignored "considerable research that reaches opposite conclusions." He compared the study to research sponsored by the tobacco industry to demonstrate that cigarettes do not cause cancer.

He also noted the ties of the authors to the testing industry.

Kuncel said that the testing industry did not pay for the latest research, and that only one of the earlier analyses included in the meta-analysis received support from a testing unit. His co-author is Sarah A. Hezlett of the Personnel Decisions Research Institutes, which works with a variety of testing entities. Kuncel said that while he serves on advisory boards for two testing organizations, that means that he evaluates research proposals at meetings in New Jersey and Washington. "I have not had my pockets lined on the basis of this research," he said.

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Comments on A Defense of Standardized Tests

  • I got great GREs today, and I suck as a student
  • Posted by suzy k on March 8, 2008 at 6:30am EST
  • I'm going to argue on the side of those who say the GREs don't mean jack. I'm 34 a year old woman and have been screwing around for the last 10 years, doing virtually nothing but watching tv. I've had a job whereby I make a very basic living, working mostly from home, editing the reports written by an ex-boyfriend who gives me the work because it doesn't cut much into his profits. I am a LOSER, with a capital L. I have taken a crack at a couple of post-BA programs, one in programming, and a masters in social work. Guess what? I screwed up both of them and quit without really tying up loose ends. I went back to sitting on the couch playing Dynomite and flipping channels and occasionally doing some editing to pay the rent.

    Well, obviously I feel horrible about my life so I decided lately it's time to take another crack at a graduate program of some kind. I don't even know yet what I'll apply for, but I decided to take the GREs. I knew I'd do well on the math because high school math was my bread and butter. I eat geometry up. I did the practice tests provided by the GRE powerprep software, and I studied some vocabulary from the prep books and a list I found online. (As a sofa-surfer I had a bit of time to study the word lists.)

    This morning (the first morning I've woken up before 11 am in a while) I took the test. I was a little disappointed with my math score, because it had been good on my practice tests, but because of nerves I was slowed a bit. I got a 780.

    However, I was quite shocked to see that I got an 800 verbal.

    So, here I am with my big fat 1580. A perfect freakin score in verbal and a not too shabby 87th percentile or so in math. And guess what? I haven't accomplished ANYTHING in my life. NOTHING. I'm 34 and there's not one respectable job I've held. Matter of fact, I've gotten summarily fired from two of them. If it weren't for my ex-boyfriend and my thrifty lifestyle I'd be eating out of a dumpster.

    So, I must conclude that these GREs mean nothing. They don't mean you can do anything useful in life. They don't mean you're of any value to society. No one will hire you on the basis of scoring well. All they're good for is more like a Pass/Fail, to let colleges know if you're dumb as dirt. Otherwise, all they mean is, "you're not dumb as dirt." They don't mean (for sure) that you'll do well at anything else at all, from grad school to working life.

    Grad schools know this. They've admitted people like me, probably, and they've seen me fail. The GREs just tell the school if you're too stupid to get out of the rain. Proving that you're capable of being a good student is up to you. You do that with recommendations and evidence of your prior performance. I guarantee you that, having none of that to show for myself, my big GRE score will mean exactly nothing to exactly everyone.

    There's my two cents.

  • Issue with both approaches
  • Posted by C. Bigsby on February 23, 2007 at 8:20am EST
  • " .. the analysis ignored “considerable research that reaches opposite conclusions.”

    Whether grades or test scores -- then a recent "Wall Street Journal" study should have turned up nothing but Ivy League grads?

    http://wsjclassroom.com/archive/06dec/care_ceocollege.htm

    And Harry Truman should have remained in Missouri?

    IMHO, with grade inflation, grades have become useless in determining ability. How else can the sometimes-wide gap between grades and test scores, be accounted for?

    Test scores are a slightly better indicator -- especially if someone is being hired to take tests.

  • But the GRE is such a blunt instrument...
  • Posted by TJ on February 23, 2007 at 8:55am EST
  • I guess I am the exception that proves the rule. My GRE's were so horrid that I couldn't even be considered for admission at state schools, but on the merits of my research articles published while still an undergraduate, I gained admission with funding to Univ. Chicago, Stanford and Oxford (which didn't give a damn about the GRE). Graduate school presented no difficulties--in fact, the focus on long research papers rather on silly little tests made it a joy. My academic career has been filled with numerous achievements despite what could have been GRE roadblocks, and would not have been predicted by this article.

    I assume that the GRE does an average job of finding population averages, but it does a poor job of predicting anything else. If we want to excel in averageness, we should embrace the GRE.

  • Follow the money
  • Posted by CTL on February 23, 2007 at 9:05am EST
  • I'm sure the methodology behind this study is sound, but it may not be as broad as it might have been. The testing industry, like pharmaceuticals (or choose another lucrative corporate sector) will tend to support research which shows it to advantage.

    This morning on NPR's Morning Edition a news piece, Quirky Essays a Window to Future Success?, offers the opposite view of standardized tests results as indicators.

  • admissions by formula?
  • Posted by jvg on February 23, 2007 at 9:50am EST
  • Surely grade averages and test scores aren't the only things graduate programs look at. Otherwise, why do I spend all this time writing letters of recommendation? Letters from recognized scholars in fields related to the student's major and proposed field of graduate study can place the numbers in context. But of course there's no way to do meta-analysis of such letters. The old saw that what is easily measured becomes what is significant to study is illustrated by these results, whether published in a prestigious journal like Science or not.

  • Test Scores - Advantages
  • Posted by Quizzical on February 23, 2007 at 9:50am EST
  • To do well often requires capital investment to own the business rather than work for someone else. Test scores are insignificant when put in the mix with who else attends the school and what advantages do they have.

  • gpa or test scores
  • Posted by Jim on February 23, 2007 at 9:56am EST
  • I am can tell you that if I had to choose between GPA or standardized test score as the sole predictor of student success, the hands down winner is standardized test scores (No, I don't work for a testing company). This is not to discount the importance of factors that should also be considered during the admissions process. The use of standardized tests is not an either/or situation. They are an important factor to consider along with all the other.

  • Income?
  • Posted by Laura on February 23, 2007 at 10:45am EST
  • It appears that while the study controlled for race and gender, it did not for income. We all know that students who can afford to be trained how to take tests well are also likely to have positive outcomes in graduate school as well.

  • Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is
  • Posted by Daniel Pedroso on February 23, 2007 at 11:16am EST
  • Standardized testing is so reliable that the testing industry refuses to certify the tests for reliability. The certification would allow students to sue the corporations if the tests did not do what they claim they do. Oops. I also know this witch doctor that says his magic cures any disease, but he refuses to certify his results. Portfolio provides a much higher reliability than standardized testing. Unfortunately, the corporations cannot make money off that type of measurement.

  • Exceptions
  • Posted by Duncan on February 23, 2007 at 11:16am EST
  • TJ, I hope you didn't imply that all with high GRE are dumber than you. I wonder if you look back and think about why you didn't do good in GRE? Are you simply not interested enough in studying what is covered in the GRE or are they asking some thing that you don't care to study or you simply don't think those are right questions to ask? Or may be you just don't like standardized test. None of these are wrong. But that does not mean the question can't be improved and that does not mean all smart people will fail the GRE.

    By the way, I tend to believe that you will do good if you care to study what GRE asked. What this mean is that you can do it. You simply don't want to. In a way you have choose that route and, therefore, need to take a different route to enter the University. If this is the case, you really didn't prove that GRE can't measure. It simply mean you choose not to be measured that way.

  • Does that include studying?
  • Posted by C. Bigsby on February 23, 2007 at 11:16am EST
  • " .. We all know that students who can afford to be trained how to take tests well .."

    Does that also include lower-income students, from traditional families, whose parents force them to study? With the iPod turned off?

    I've counseled several lower-income achievers. They hated to do the work -- but found out later that it paid off.

  • Posted by Richard Haswell on February 23, 2007 at 11:16am EST
  • I notice that this piece does not mention the degree of predictability. The fact is that undergraduate GPA is a terrible predictor of graduate school performance, but so are test scores. Performance on the Graduate Record Examination, from which Educational Testing Services makes millions, rarely correlates with graduate-school performance at above .30, regardless of academic field. On such a pitiful correlation no independent psychometrician would recommend making a decision about an individual's future. Saying test scores are better predictors of graduate-school success is like saying that Tarot cards are better than the horoscope in predicting your future luck at the roulette tables in Vegas.

  • I am not the "norm"
  • Posted by C. Edgar on February 23, 2007 at 11:21am EST
  • I am definately not the "norm:" While I am a female, I had average grades in high school (this was pre-TAAS and TAKS; we took only the Iowa Basic Skills Test in 7th and 10th grade), I scored only 19 on my ACT, I completed by undergrad degree at four universities and one community college, I graduated cum laude with a B.A., did not have to take the GRE to get into a Master's program, earned my Master's, have been working as an college instructor for the past fours years, and have been accepted to a doctoral program, again w/o having take the GRE. What did standardized testing (or lack of) "predict" about me? NOTHING. All standardized testing does is prove that those students have been taught how to pass that test. Nothing more, nothing less. Personal maturity level and plain ole' hardwork are the determiners of how well someone is going to do in higher education.
    Nothing more, nothing less.

  • Posted by David on February 23, 2007 at 12:10pm EST
  • Our graduate admissions process looks at GRE, grades, letters of recommendation, and the candidate's personal statement. Put together these things usually give us a good picture (approximately in order) of the candidate's raw ability, knowledge of the field, maturity, and motivation for graduate study.

    In my (non-statistically verified) experience candidates with very low GRE scores who are admitted on the basis of other criteria struggle and drop out of the PhD program at a much higher rate.

    I can also tell anecdotal tales of students with high 90's percentile standardized tests who have failed out of our program.

    You will always find people who say, "I don't test well." (Of course those people might have GRE percentiles that range from 10% to 90%.) And then they point to their success (often grades) as refuting the value of standardized tests.

    However, when that same group ranging from 10% to 90% all submit transcripts with a 3.5 GPA, I don't have to tell you who gets admitted first.

  • no need to correct for income
  • Posted by Larry on February 23, 2007 at 12:11pm EST
  • Laura, Why should they be controlled for income. Prestigious graduate programs are looking for certain attributes in students. They are not in the business of making the disadvantaged advantaged or the blind sighted. Instead, they need to know, with reasonable accuracy, whether an undergrad will do their program proud (which usually translates into publication and prestigious job placement). It doesn’t matter whether they are doing the program proud because they have had lots of advantages in life, or whether they are hard workers. This is the real world, and at some point normalizing for other factors is hurts the overall mission.

    But, while we are on the subject, maybe grades should be normalized for the following factors: 1) physical appearance; 2) number of hours student spent schmoozing with professor; 3) average grade given by each professor; and 4) number of professors student had “close” relationship with.

    Whether grades or standardized tests are the best measure is obviously debatable. Since grades are often subject to inflation and are rarely given in a double-blind manner (with many professors admitting that they raise grades based on “interactions” with students), graduate programs see the advantages in anonymous grading.

  • Anonymous Grading
  • Posted by Quizzical on February 23, 2007 at 12:45pm EST
  • To comment on Larry's obsevation about anonymous grading. Under that method, all profs in my grad school were shocked when I finished in the top ten. No clue until rank in class by name was publised just before graduation. Had that not been the case, I would have been punished for many of my views expressed in class. Accrediation methods study require many aspects of consideration. If the average entrance scores of the student body are high enough, all will get a great education. Number 3,000 down at some schools is better prepared than number 1 at others. And, some grad schools look for different backgrounds to meld the class input - what value should be on that. Anyone remember the Watts v Princeton test examples. How do you factor that?

  • comments
  • Posted by Douglas Lewis on February 23, 2007 at 1:20pm EST
  • It appears that every commenter is far more anxious to air his views on standardized tests than to examine the study.
    BTW, on ties to the testing companies. Peculiar world in which academic consultants for the companies must never ever do any studies on the tests.

  • Posted by John on February 23, 2007 at 4:01pm EST
  • Judging from some of the posts, it's pretty obvious the GRE does not test for spelling.

  • Posted by efp on February 24, 2007 at 10:00pm EST
  • "Across all the major standardized tests, they all predict a variety of important outcomes — grades, licensure passage, obtaining the degree..."

    So, let's see: scoring well on a test predicts one's ability to get good grades (by scoring well on other tests), or pass some licensure test. I am shocked.

  • GRE /testing
  • Posted by Terry on February 24, 2007 at 10:00pm EST
  • It's refreshing to see that as educators we work hard to justify the means we use to allow graduates into our various programs. I also agree that test scores are not the end allmeans of this entrance into some of these programs. Keep the research coming and improve the system in a true and worthwhile way. And there is always a BUT... Unless politics, lobbyists, and self centered (what do I get out of this for me!) people are eliminated from the whole educational scene at the administrative level; there will be no improvements in any of our educational programs, at any level.

  • Posted by Eric Crampton on February 28, 2007 at 4:25am EST
  • Kaplan's GRE training materials -- the computer-based testing training software -- costs less than the textbook you'll buy for any undergraduate course. You don't need anything beyond that for practicing for the GREs. Given how cheap the training is relative to everything else in undergrad, I really fail to understand the objection to the GREs based on it only rewarding folks who can afford the training. The full package -- 6 complete GRE tests, hundreds of practice questions -- $35. Cost as an issue doesn't pass the laugh test.

  • New GRE, new debate
  • Posted by Amy , Student at American Public University on March 6, 2007 at 1:51pm EST
  • Of course, now that the GRE is going to be completely overhauled, there will be some who will debate whether the "old" GRE is as valid as the new, more difficult GRE. No surprise that Kaplan is telling students to take both tests. Why not? With the price going up in September, it just means more money for them.

  • The Point
  • Posted by SHA on March 6, 2007 at 10:10pm EST
  • I took the GRE twice. The first time, I got something like 590 on the math and 500 on the verbal. The second time, I got something like 480 on the math and 610 on the verbal. Please explain to me how I can have so many math smarts and so few language skills on one day, and the exact opposite skills the next time I take the test. (I was an English major, by the way, who barely scraped by my undergrad math requirement.)

    For me, the point is this: although a group of test scores may accurately predict the college performance of a group of students, a single test score does not accurately predict the performance of an individual student and therefore should not be used in admissions decisions for individuals.

    There are loads of factors that influence a student's test scores, including but not limited to whether s/he has practiced taking that type of test, how much sleep s/he got, whether s/he has eaten, and whether s/he experiences test anxiety. A single test score absolutely cannot determine an individual's understanding or abilities.

    There's a great piece of research that explains this issue: Black, Paul, and Dylan Wiliam. "The Reliability of Assessments." Assessment and Learning. London: SAGE, 2006.