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Hedging Bets on Student Loan Availability

March 13, 2008

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In the debate about how seriously the student financial aid market is being affected by the tightening of the credit markets, many Congressional Democrats, along with advocates for borrowers with whom they are often aligned, have generally played down the impact to date, at least regarding students (as opposed to lenders).

But a day after a top aide to Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) expressed skepticism about whether students were being hurt by the credit crunch, the senator set the stage during debate over the 2009 budget resolution on the Senate floor for a proposal that would increase the amount of federal loan funds that a student can borrow -- one of several changes that the lenders, for-profit colleges and others most worried about the credit crunch have sought.

Technically, the proposal from Kennedy -- offered as an amendment to the Senate's budget amendment for 2009 -- is nothing more than a procedural step that would only make it possible for Congress to increase loan limits or take other steps to ease the credit crunch later if it decides to do so. (In formal terms, it would "expand the deficit-neutral reserve fund for higher education in the Budget Resolution to ensure that it allows Congress to take any necessary action to increase the amount students can borrow under the federal student loan program.") Under Congressional budgetary procedures, it would be difficult for Kennedy or other lawmakers to seek to take expensive new steps to help borrowers later if they have not laid the groundwork -- and set aside a pool of funds -- in the budget blueprint that Congress is debating now.

In introducing his amendment, Kennedy, who heads the Senate's education committee, reiterated that right now, the tightening credit market is affecting mainly banks and corporations. But "we cannot allow the credit crunch to prevent our young people from going to college," he said, noting that he and Rep. George Miller (D-Calif.), who heads the parallel House panel, had already urged Education Secretary Margaret Spellings to ensure that the federal government had backup plans to "make sure that secure loan options are available to students in case the market collapses."

But more action may be needed, Kennedy said, especially because far too many students are having to turn to more expensive private (or alternative) loans to cover the difference between what they receive in federal grants and loans and what they must pay to attend college. (Kennedy attributed to the Education Department a figure -- far higher than previous estimates from the College Board and other sources -- suggesting that 40 to 60 percent of students who take out private loans have not taken "full advantage of the grant aid and low-interest loans they are eligible for under federal programs."

"This amendment allows for increases in eligibility for federal student loans in order to give students a better, lower-cost option than relying on private lenders," Kennedy said in his floor statement. That was as specific as he got -- he did not say from which federal loan programs he would allow students to borrow more, although student aid experts anticipated that to make such an increase cost effective, Kennedy would seek to increase access to unsubsidized Stafford Loans or parent loans, which are far less expensive to the U.S. Treasury because the government does not pay the interest on them while borrowers are in college, as is true for subsidized loans. (Federal law allows dependent undergraduate students to borrow up to $3,500 in subsidized loans as freshman, $4,500 as sophomores, and $5,500 for each remaining year, while independent students and those whose parents have been rejected for a parental loan can borrow thousands more in unsubsidized loans. There are cumulative limits as well.)

Advocates for students and borrowers -- with whom Kennedy is typically aligned -- historically have opposed increases in the annual and aggregate limits on how much federal loan borrowing a student can do, in the belief that higher limits will ultimately mean greater debt burdens for more borrowers.

Kennedy's proposal would seem to conflict with student advocates' long-held view. But some of those who have argued against higher loan limits in the past and urged caution on policy changes in response to the existing credit crunch challenged the assertion that Kennedy's proposal represented a break with them.

"I think he's doing the right thing in seeking to calm fears of parents or financial aid officers scared by newspaper headlines, and by demonstrating that Congress is ready to act should there be widespread problems for students themselves, as opposed to some lenders," said Michael Dannenberg, director of the Education Policy Program at the New America Foundation. Dannenberg said that Kennedy's plan should be viewed not as opening the door to students' borrowing more but as allowing them to shift their borrowing to less-costly federal loans rather than more expensive private ones.

But others said they feared ill effects. "I think that Senator Kennedy is attempting to intervene in good faith to avert a possible problem," Barmak Nassirian, associate executive director of the American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers, said via e-mail. "It’s unfortunate that the problem he has been handed is not particularly well understood by most policy makers, and that the solution he is offering is likely to have significant unintended consequences."

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Comments on Hedging Bets on Student Loan Availability

  • Posted by Hill Helper on March 13, 2008 at 9:45am EDT
  • Let us not forget that Michael Dannenberg used to be one of Kennedy's staffers.

  • FFELP loan limits
  • Posted by feudi pandola on March 13, 2008 at 9:55am EDT
  • I applaud Senator Kennedy for his initiative to increase the loan limits for Stafford loans. The problem will be that lenders are already saying that they can't make money at the current loan limits. I'm not shedding any crocodile tears for lenders because I think this whole mess is being driven by good, old fashioned greed. As we all know, there is very little risk on these loans given the government guaranties on them and the other legal restrictions placed on them in the recent re-authorizations.

    We'll see where this goes. If it helps dampen the much more expensive private student loan sector, then it helps students.

  • Increasing loan debt
  • Posted by Al on March 13, 2008 at 10:30am EDT
  • I would feel more comfortable in increasing the amount students could borrower in the Stafford Loan programs if I were more aware of the default rate of those students who are receiving Direct Loans. It is my understanding that the default rate for those taking Direct Loans is not published, if it is, then someone please let me know what where I can get that information. The problem is that default aversion is already an issue for borrowers and increasing their borrowing limits should be accompanied with the government intiating a default aversion program for students in Direct Lending.

  • How About Tears for the Students?
  • Posted by Student Loan Watcher on March 13, 2008 at 11:10am EDT
  • Whether or not Feudi thinks the lenders deserve tears, the real problem here is going to be the thousands of students who won't be attending college this fall because the lenders can no longer afford to make loans....and that is truly worthy of your "crocodile tears".

    It's interesting to see all the people jumping for joy at the fall of lenders. Those companies who market and service loans do so to make a profit....as does just about every other company in this country. It is not a free service. Just because a few big exec's make a high salary does not make the entire industry criminal. Furthermore, the fact that a few students graduate and can't afford to pay back their loans does not mean that the entire system is broken.

    Just to prove how difficult the industry has become, take a look at stock prices.

    Sallie Mae close to a 52 week low today.
    First Marblehead at the lowest price since it became public.
    Most of the top banks who take part in lending are on the plunge.
    PHEAA and many other state agencies discontinuing loans.

    Trust me, the industry is in trouble and it will ultimately be the students who suffer. Most politicians have little or no insight into what is actually going on and what the outcome will be when they pass legislation.

    Good luck to the next generation of students who will have little opportunity to afford a higher education.

  • Posted by Author, No Sucker Left Behind on March 13, 2008 at 12:35pm EDT
  • It will be foolish to increase the loan limits without considering each student's ability to repay. Let's learn some lessons from the current mortgage crisis and apply them to student debt. Lesson #1: don't give more debt to people than they can afford to repay. Lesson #2: we need to encourage students to pursue schools and degrees that will require less debt, not more.

  • Real Problem - Consumer
  • Posted by Jerry in LA on March 13, 2008 at 1:40pm EDT
  • "I think this whole mess is being driven by good, old fashioned greed." The greed of colleges, me thinks.

    See No Sucker's Lesson #2 - Students need to choose the school they can afford (usually a chevy will get you where you want to go just as good as a BMW).

    And thank you ‘Student Loan Watcher’; well said.

  • Hedging Bets
  • Posted by Kim Jenerette on March 13, 2008 at 2:50pm EDT
  • What I find most interesting in this process is that the very funding that Congress has created AND the fact that Congress has dictated that lenders will pay for some of these programs (by reduced lender subsidies and such) has forced this situation. So now, Congress goes out and makes statements and press releases that they are here to save the day. Hmmm, if only folks could easily draw arrows from the designer of this mess to the results for all to see and understand.

  • An answer to Al's question
  • Posted by Bob Shireman , President at The Institute for College Access & Success on March 13, 2008 at 3:35pm EDT
  • Data and a discussion on default rates for DL and FFEL are published on page 363 of the 2009 federal budget appendix. The rates in DL are slightly higher for each loan type, which might be due to more trade schools in DL. You could check the cohort rates on similar schools in DL versus FFEL to get a sense of whether the rates would be similar after adjusting for school type. As the budget appendix indicates, default rates on consolidation loans are a lot higher in DL because former defaulters are consolidated into DL and they often default again.

  • It's not all the fault of lenders
  • Posted by Suzanne on March 13, 2008 at 4:45pm EDT
  • Lenders are not 100% at fault here. They were asked to make student loans and they do. Most are for-profit companies participating in the program designed by the government. Now the govt (Kennedy) has decided they don't like lenders and feel that govt can handle the whole program themselves (direct lending). I think it's obvious that the DL program cannot take on thousands of schools. But Kennedy's legislation, combined with the credit crunch, has meant that thousands of people working for lenders and servicers have lost their jobs - and it's not over yet. So now they want to raise the loan limits? HELLO...lenders cannot even make loans, so what does raising the limit do???? There is no money available for servicers to buy these loans, so lenders have no way to raise capital to make more loans. I am tired of Kennedy playing the "saviour of students" when, in fact, the student is the loser in all this. Before his recent legislation, students received incentives in the form of lower interest rates and return of principal because this was a very competitive business. They could shop around for the best deal on their loan. Now - subsidies to lenders were cut and guess what? No more incentives. So loans cost the student more money. Bottom Line: everyone is losing -- lenders, servicers, guarantors, and mostly - students.

  • Profits and student loans
  • Posted by feudi pandola on March 13, 2008 at 6:00pm EDT
  • I did not intend to insinuate that lenders should not make a profit. My point was more directed to the amount of profit. It is a simple fact that private student loans are significantly costlier to students than FFELP loans, by a lot! On average these loans go off at about 9.5% compared to the FFELP rate of 6.8%. In addition, these private loans usually have a 10% premium shaved off the top.

    I agrre completely that it is not just the lenders greed driving up cost. Our schools and colleges MUST control cost far more effectively than they have in the past decade. As I've posted before, the cost of attendance should be required information on every school website. The COA at Wharton grad school is now over $72,000 per year. Anyone who thinks we can maintain this system as it currently exists is nuts.

    Sadly, higher education is going the way of healthcare as more and more of the profit motive seeps into the system...witness the current investigation of Kaplan University. I'm a capitalist but there are certain sectors within the economy where the public good is injured by unbridled, unregulated capitalism. It is high time we realized this as a nation and acted accordingly.

  • Increasing Annual Stafford Loan Limits - Yes
  • Posted by Charles on March 13, 2008 at 8:30pm EDT
  • The cost of attending my public 4 year post-secondary institution is @ $19k for the regular ac yr as an instate resident, of which tuition = $5250.

    The increased Pell allowance for 08-09 is encouraging and helpful. However...

    An entering freshman who is not Pell eligible can currently borrow $3500/yr. Hmm, let's see... That's not a match for students without the personal finances to afford these costs, but whose family demonstrates a very modest AGI and so can't get a grant.

    Juniors and Seniors can cover resident tuition with a whopping $250 refund from which to pay for books, room/board, etc. for two terms. After 12 years in the financial aid office working with students and parents struggling to fund education, I would say yes, let's do increase annual Stafford Loan limits. I would also say save the Perkins Loan Program.