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Surprising Impact of Student Loan Crunch

October 22, 2008

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Cries of financial distress from students unable to find private student loans have been relatively few and far between this fall, despite lots of newspaper headlines about a lack of availability of such loans. Interviews with many campus officials in recent weeks have indicated that while some campuses and students experienced delays in getting their money, and some borrowers were forced to pay more for their loans, few were deterred in any real way from pursuing their education.

A survey released Tuesday by the National Association of Independent Colleges and Universities, however, suggests that the student loan credit crunch has had an unexpectedly significant impact on the educational plans of students at private colleges. Because of how the survey is worded, gauging the exact scope of that impact, in terms of numbers of students, is difficult, and officials of the private college association said they could not ascertain that, either.

But the survey of about 500 colleges does suggest a meaningful impact. Fifty-seven percent of the colleges surveyed said that they had more than 10 students who had been unable to secure a private loan for the current academic year, and 49 colleges said they had at least 50 students who had been unable to secure loans -- most because they were unable to find someone to co-sign their loans.

When asked how the affected students were bridging the financial gap, survey respondents cited a range of responses, including participating in an institutional tuition repayment plan (52.6 percent of institutions), asking their parents to borrow federal PLUS loans for parents (48.8 percent), or paying with credit cards (34.3). But a staggering 45.8 percent of private colleges said that at least some of their students were "stopping out of school or switching to part-time status," a finding that conflicts with the widely held notion that students had not, by and large, been seriously deterred from pursuing their studies. (Another 38.3 percent said they were working more, which, depending on the situation, can obviously also have a deleterious effect on academic performance and college completion.)

In response to another question about the perceived impact of the credit crunch, 17.7 percent of independent colleges said they had enrolled fewer returning students than they had expected, and 19 percent had smaller incoming freshman classes than expected.

"We lost a large portion of our freshman class who were unable to secure a private loan and whose parents were either denied a PLUS loan or could not take one," said one unidentified respondent to the NAICU survey. Said another: "Most [students] who were unable to secure private loans were not able to attend."

Among other findings of the private college group's survey:

  • Three quarters of colleges said student demand for financial aid had increased this year over last. To cover the increased demand, about 20 percent of all institutions that responded said they had turned to increased revenues (from raising tuition or fund raising), 17 percent said they had made cuts to other budget lines, and nearly 11 percent said they had dipped into their endowments.
  • Eighty-five percent of respondents who participated in the federal guaranteed loan program said they had lost lenders because of the credit crunch, but just 10 percent said they had found the process of replacing them to be difficult. Nearly 90 percent of respondents said they had lost providers of private student loans, and more than a quarter said replacing them was difficult or extremely difficult.
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Comments on Surprising Impact of Student Loan Crunch

  • Critical thinking
  • Posted by Frank on October 22, 2008 at 6:55am EDT
  • This is long overdue. Just take a minute and think: is burdening teen-agers with massive debt on college degrees of questionable worth, is that fair? Wise? Decent?

    Who is this really about? Them? Or you?

    Why four years? Why not five? Or six? Or seven? To contain debt load? And avoid a personal "Fannie/Freddie?"

    Can't wait for the response of "the learned."

  • What about non-traditional students?
  • Posted by Wilbur on October 22, 2008 at 7:55am EDT
  • I wish that the large part of learners in higher education known as adults had been included in this article.
    Are adults falling or rather stopping out at a higher rate because of uncertainties about their jobs and making mortgage payments instead of tuition or school loan payments?
    WB

  • FATAL FLAW
  • Posted by justaguy , parent & taxpayer on October 22, 2008 at 8:55am EDT
  • "Because of how the survey is worded, gauging the exact scope of that impact, in terms of numbers of students, is difficult, and officials of the private college association said they could not ascertain that, either."

    At the risk of pointing out the obvious, this statement greatly limits the value of the survey.

  • 46%
  • Posted by R.F. , FAO on October 22, 2008 at 9:35am EDT
  • Of the 46% who "stopped out", the survey does not tell us whether they subsequently decided to attend their local community college or public 4 year. Many news outlets have reported on the burgeoning community college and in many cases Public 4 year college enrollments. It would be presumptous to assume that they are "just not" attending college. Most students and parents are smart enough to seek out less expensive options.

    Also, the FAO has the ability to use "Professional Judgement" for those cases which are really the most impacted by the economic fallout to make the student perhaps more eligible for grants. This is an issue for competitive, expensive private colleges who are NOT able to commit their endowments to providing a "debt free" education as some have. The early FA filing deadlines at these schools may drive some folks to make changes earlier to avoid the rush.

  • Holding All Other Factors Constant
  • Posted by John Maynard Keynes on October 22, 2008 at 10:30am EDT
  • Just like the cooling effect that a recessionary period has on the prices of consumer goods, it will also cause downward pressure on tuition prices as supply at higher priced private institutions will exceed demand. In the absence of other factors (in this case - availability of loans and willingness to take on high levels of consumer debt), consumers will shift their buying to less expensive alternatives. Community college enrollments are at all time highs. This buyer behavior is consistent with purchasing groceries at the local market during those same economic downturns, where hamburger is favored over rib eye. Consumers do not eat less, rather, they merely choose less expensive alternatives.

  • Posted by Emily on October 22, 2008 at 10:35am EDT
  • I wish this would have compared numbers to previous years. I've known people who have been seriously struggling with financing their education for the last seven years. I've seen several people withdraw from college after being unable to find a loan well before this semester.

    A friend of mine with poor parents, a spotty credit history, and a plummeting GPA from having to work 35 hours a week while attending school full-time had to drop out of college just one year shy of graduation. She asked everyone she'd known for more than a year to cosign on a loan for her, but she just could not get approved. And this was in 2007, before the proverbial excrement really hit the fan.

  • Credit crunch?
  • Posted by Joe on October 22, 2008 at 11:25am EDT
  • Most of the so called "credit crunch" was a fiction created by fear-mongers. The only real crunch was for investment banks who were levered 30 to 1.

    Joe Average hasn't had problems getting car, student, or home loans from reputable commercial banks and i dare anyone to prove otherwise.

    Please don't point to LIBOR spreads. That is only evidence that the derivative market was frozen, not retail lending.

  • ParentPLUS increase
  • Posted by collegeloanconsultant on October 22, 2008 at 12:40pm EDT
  • If people think there's a mortgage crisis now, just wait 4 years when those ParentPLUS loans become due.

  • Backwards solutions
  • Posted by Sean on October 22, 2008 at 2:35pm EDT
  • "Three quarters of colleges said student demand for financial aid had increased this year over last. To cover the increased demand, about 20 percent of all institutions that responded said they had turned to increased revenues (from raising tuition or fund raising)"

    How does raising tuition help students who are already requesting more financial aid?

  • Response To Wilbur
  • Posted by Bob Barker , Partner at EDU Interactive on October 22, 2008 at 4:10pm EDT
  • Adult Learner demand for higher education has not abated significantly. Having worked in enrollment through several election cycles I would say that the elections have a greater impact on enrollment decision making processes. Why? I don't really know.
    Lately, we have only had a few folks say that they do not want to enroll at this time due to economic concerns. When you are experiencing a personal credit challenge, the thought of taking on student loans can be a bit stressful. All that being said, we are still seeing no change in the overall demand. What we are seeing is greater competition for individual enrollments.

  • Posted by Kathryn T. on October 29, 2008 at 8:35pm EDT
  • I'm sorry but reality is such that if they DO get to borrow the money, they might be worse off and when it's all said and done might regret that they were foolish enough to borrow all that money it in the first place. I got over $70K in private student loans provided to me so that I could obtain a law degree at a not so fancy law school. That's on top of the fed loans (all borrowed at max) and my undergrad fed loans AND the credit cards I used to live on while studying for the bar and job searching ever since. Only problem is that I have yet to find a single job that allows me to basically pay for TWO MORTGAGES (one is the total amount $150K in student loans) and the other so I can eat and not sleep in my 12 year old car. The reality is that many of us who qualified for these crazy loans would have been much better off if we were simply denied. I would have much rather complain here about that, then the absolute nightmare I am in right now. Be careful what you wish for.